Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.161614 0.182106 0.203619 0.227835 0.254279 0.282224 0.313934
2025-03-09 0.133005 0.160490 0.190867 0.226747 0.267775 0.313031 0.366528
2025-03-16 0.111814 0.143365 0.179841 0.224733 0.278077 0.339018 0.413453
2025-03-23 0.098913 0.133829 0.175814 0.229339 0.295032 0.372280 0.469180
2025-03-30 0.086400 0.123055 0.168800 0.229054 0.305215 0.397126 0.515167
2025-04-06 0.076091 0.113771 0.162459 0.228546 0.314337 0.420301 0.559252
2025-04-13 0.067448 0.105650 0.156665 0.227877 0.322616 0.442119 0.601779
2025-04-20 0.061182 0.100061 0.153576 0.230195 0.334384 0.468272 0.650099
2025-04-27 0.057058 0.097043 0.153598 0.236412 0.351206 0.501123 0.707605
2025-05-04 0.052009 0.092112 0.150440 0.237817 0.361288 0.525140 0.753965
2025-05-11 0.048411 0.089008 0.149581 0.242209 0.375370 0.554608 0.807995
2025-05-18 0.045843 0.087248 0.150487 0.249012 0.392854 0.588932 0.869135
2025-05-25 0.041079 0.081613 0.145332 0.246886 0.397937 0.606983 0.909576
2025-06-01 0.037358 0.077338 0.141930 0.247088 0.406223 0.629544 0.956612
2025-06-08 0.033691 0.072768 0.137685 0.245666 0.411912 0.648448 0.998888
2025-06-15 0.031727 0.071026 0.137857 0.251012 0.427708 0.681947 1.062152
2025-06-22 0.028947 0.067482 0.134755 0.250925 0.435170 0.703541 1.108971
2025-06-29 0.026385 0.064069 0.131598 0.250496 0.441953 0.724162 1.154687
2025-07-06 0.024038 0.060813 0.128451 0.249841 0.448229 0.744044 1.199601
2025-07-13 0.022381 0.058773 0.127289 0.252369 0.459481 0.771442 1.255839
2025-07-20 0.021443 0.058130 0.128590 0.259073 0.477506 0.809291 1.327989
2025-07-27 0.019885 0.055985 0.126955 0.260595 0.487161 0.834642 1.382138
2025-08-03 0.018850 0.054879 0.127181 0.265322 0.502093 0.868259 1.449066